Tag Archives: uncertainty

When does research help environmental management?

Think of the case where a manager needs to decide which action to take to stop a species  declining, or to eradicate a pest, or to increase sustainable harvest levels. It is rare in environmental management to know, with certainty, … Continue reading

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Simple Adaptive Management

This post gives some details of my speed talk at the SCB Oceania conference, which is in room P9 on Thursday 7 July at 11:50 as part of a session on conservation planning and adaptive management. We have submitted this … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, Ecological models, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

While I was sleeping: optimising ecological surveys over space and time

With the recent online publication of a new paper, here’s a blog post about how the research arose – a fun confluence of mathematical and cognitive collaboration across two sides of the world. And some of it was achieved while … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Detectability, Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

INTECOL talk, #INT13

I’m talking in the S11 Maths, Models & Methods session at INTECOL on Tuesday at 11:15 in room 4. The topic is “Developing biodiversity indices using models”. A copy of the slides is available here. I’ll also auto-tweet a little … Continue reading

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Statistical inference in ecology

Update: a pdf of an updated version of this chapter is available here. If this post had a single take-home message, it would be this: whatever statistical method you use, make sure that you use and report it appropriately. I’m … Continue reading

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Considering uncertainty in environmental management decisions

This is a post about a new paper, which forms part of the PhD thesis of Yacov Salomon. Yacov is jointly enrolled in the School of Botany and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at The University of Melbourne. Salomon, … Continue reading

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Planning for unplanned fires, and the response of biodiversity

There is a report in today’s Age about the decline of Leadbeater’s possum in the face of fires and timber harvesting. Professor David Lindenmayer of the Australian National University notes that the situation is dire, and that timber harvesting should … Continue reading

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Optimal monitoring when detectability varies – my talk at #ESAus2012

Edit: A paper based on this work has now been published in PLoS One (open access, i.e. free). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0115345. I’m looking forward to the Ecological Society of Australia conference this week. I’m speaking in the second time slot (2:15 … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, Detectability, Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Royal Society of Victoria Lecture on Science for Conservation Decisions

I’m speaking tomorrow (7.00 pm, 22 November 2012) at the Royal Society of Victoria. It will be in the Lecture Theatre upstairs in the Royal Society building (entry via 8 La Trobe Street Melbourne). RSV lectures are open to all … Continue reading

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Wednesday at #ESA2012

I began my Wednesday at ESA2012 in Damien Fordham’s talk on the stochastic trophic metapopulation dynamics of Iberian lynx, rabbits and two diseases (rabbit hemorrhagic disease and myxomatosis ) in the presence of climate change. Whoa – that is a … Continue reading

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