Tag Archives: probability

Considering uncertainty in environmental management decisions

This is a post about a new paper, which forms part of the PhD thesis of Yacov Salomon. Yacov is jointly enrolled in the School of Botany and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at The University of Melbourne. Salomon, … Continue reading

Posted in Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Effects of timber harvesting on water yield from mountain ash forests

The effect of timber harvesting on water yield from mountain ash forest has been studied for decades. It is topical because mountain ash forests supply a large amount of water to Melbourne, a city of more than 4 million people. … Continue reading

Posted in Communication, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 8 Comments

Nate Silver would be more of a guru if Romney wins Florida

Nate Silver is a prediction guru (or perhaps a witch). He compiles data from polling results, that he weights by sample size and measures of historical reliability, to predict the winner of the US presidential election. He calculates the probability … Continue reading

Posted in Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments