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Tag Archives: probability
Writing concisely about indices of extinction risk
Edit: An updated version of the paper mentioned in this post is available at bioRxiv: http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/000760 (and now it is published: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12308) A post on the joys of editing science. For three years I have worked on a paper in … Continue reading
INTECOL talk, #INT13
I’m talking in the S11 Maths, Models & Methods session at INTECOL on Tuesday at 11:15 in room 4. The topic is “Developing biodiversity indices using models”. A copy of the slides is available here. I’ll also auto-tweet a little … Continue reading
Considering uncertainty in environmental management decisions
This is a post about a new paper, which forms part of the PhD thesis of Yacov Salomon. Yacov is jointly enrolled in the School of Botany and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at The University of Melbourne. Salomon, … Continue reading
Posted in Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis
Tagged Brendan Wintle, ecology, environmental decisions, koala, matrix population models, Michael McCarthy, mick mccarthy, models, olive ridley sea turtle, optimal management, peter baxter, Peter Taylor, portfolio theory, probability, research, uncertainty, Yacov Salomon
2 Comments
Effects of timber harvesting on water yield from mountain ash forests
The effect of timber harvesting on water yield from mountain ash forest has been studied for decades. It is topical because mountain ash forests supply a large amount of water to Melbourne, a city of more than 4 million people. … Continue reading
Posted in Communication, Probability and Bayesian analysis
Tagged fire, forest, mick mccarthy, models, mountain ash forests, probability, risk, timber harvesting, water
8 Comments
Nate Silver would be more of a guru if Romney wins Florida
Nate Silver is a prediction guru (or perhaps a witch). He compiles data from polling results, that he weights by sample size and measures of historical reliability, to predict the winner of the US presidential election. He calculates the probability … Continue reading
Posted in Probability and Bayesian analysis
Tagged Bayesian, models, Nate Silver, prediction, probability, US presidential election
4 Comments
