Tag Archives: probability

When does research help environmental management?

Think of the case where a manager needs to decide which action to take to stop a species  declining, or to eradicate a pest, or to increase sustainable harvest levels. It is rare in environmental management to know, with certainty, … Continue reading

Posted in Ecological models, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Simple Adaptive Management

This post gives some details of my speed talk at the SCB Oceania conference, which is in room P9 on Thursday 7 July at 11:50 as part of a session on conservation planning and adaptive management. We have submitted this … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, Ecological models, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

While I was sleeping: optimising ecological surveys over space and time

With the recent online publication of a new paper, here’s a blog post about how the research arose – a fun confluence of mathematical and cognitive collaboration across two sides of the world. And some of it was achieved while … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Detectability, Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Biodiversity management and unplanned fires

Edit: Missed my seminar? You can listen to a recording with a copy of the slides: http://unimelb.adobeconnect.com/p913xeq1mjx/ I’m doing a seminar today at Creswick on fire and biodiversity (9:30 a.m., Melbourne time). My talk will discuss unplanned fires, how their … Continue reading

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Triage does not mean abandoning the most threatened species

Species triage has been in the news lately. The reports might create the impression that we should give up trying to save the most threatened species. Let me be clear: The science underpinning species triage does not say saving the … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, Ecological models | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 21 Comments

Joint Species Distribution Models

Update: The paper is now available (free) from Methods in Ecology and Evolution. Update 2: In the tutorial on how to use this method, we refer to the file “fit.JSDM.r”. This is the R script on the journal website named, … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 11 Comments

Anniversary Lecture at the Mathematical Association of Victoria Annual Conference

I’m honoured to be presenting the Anniversary Lecture at the opening of the Mathematical Association of Victoria Annual Conference tomorrow at La Trobe University. I will aim to show how relatively simple mathematics can be used to help understand and … Continue reading

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Writing concisely about indices of extinction risk

Edit: An updated version of the paper mentioned in this post is available at bioRxiv: http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/000760 (and now it is published: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12308) A post on the joys of editing science. For three years I have worked on a paper in … Continue reading

Posted in Communication, Ecological indices, New research | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

INTECOL talk, #INT13

I’m talking in the S11 Maths, Models & Methods session at INTECOL on Tuesday at 11:15 in room 4. The topic is “Developing biodiversity indices using models”. A copy of the slides is available here. I’ll also auto-tweet a little … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, Ecological indices, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Statistical inference in ecology

Update: a pdf of an updated version of this chapter is available here. If this post had a single take-home message, it would be this: whatever statistical method you use, make sure that you use and report it appropriately. I’m … Continue reading

Posted in New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 22 Comments