Tag Archives: models

Effects of timber harvesting on water yield from mountain ash forests

The effect of timber harvesting on water yield from mountain ash forest has been studied for decades. It is topical because mountain ash forests supply a large amount of water to Melbourne, a city of more than 4 million people. … Continue reading

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Optimal monitoring when detectability varies – my talk at #ESAus2012

Edit: A paper based on this work has now been published in PLoS One (open access, i.e. free). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0115345. I’m looking forward to the Ecological Society of Australia conference this week. I’m speaking in the second time slot (2:15 … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, Detectability, Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Nate Silver would be more of a guru if Romney wins Florida

Nate Silver is a prediction guru (or perhaps a witch). He compiles data from polling results, that he weights by sample size and measures of historical reliability, to predict the winner of the US presidential election. He calculates the probability … Continue reading

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The detection of species and their abundance

Update (this has now been published): McCarthy, M.A., Moore, J.L., Morris, W.K., Parris, K.M., Garrard, G.E., Vesk, P.A., Rumpff, L., Giljohann, K.M., Camac, J.S., Bau, S.S., Friend, T., Harrison, B., and Yue, B. (2013). The influence of abundance on detectabiliy. … Continue reading

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Wednesday at #ESA2012

I began my Wednesday at ESA2012 in Damien Fordham’s talk on the stochastic trophic metapopulation dynamics of Iberian lynx, rabbits and two diseases (rabbit hemorrhagic disease and myxomatosis ) in the presence of climate change. Whoa – that is a … Continue reading

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Tuesday at #ESA2012

Here is my post about Tuesday at ESA 2012. My first stop was the session run by Ben Bolker (one of the people I enjoyed meeting and chatting with on Monday) and Drew Tyre (another case of meeting up with … Continue reading

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Monday at #ESA2012 – a ripper

Now that was a great opening day of the ESA conference in Portland! OK, yesterday was the official opening, and I liked Jane Lubchenco’s talk, but this was the first full day. And it was perhaps the best conference day … Continue reading

Posted in Communication, Ecological indices, Ecological models, Women in science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments