Tag Archives: mick mccarthy

When does research help environmental management?

Think of the case where a manager needs to decide which action to take to stop a species  declining, or to eradicate a pest, or to increase sustainable harvest levels. It is rare in environmental management to know, with certainty, … Continue reading

Posted in Ecological models, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Simple Adaptive Management

This post gives some details of my speed talk at the SCB Oceania conference, which is in room P9 on Thursday 7 July at 11:50 as part of a session on conservation planning and adaptive management. We have submitted this … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, Ecological models, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

While I was sleeping: optimising ecological surveys over space and time

With the recent online publication of a new paper, here’s a blog post about how the research arose – a fun confluence of mathematical and cognitive collaboration across two sides of the world. And some of it was achieved while … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Detectability, Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Effects of stand age on fire severity

Our new paper shows that the probability of crown fire in mountain forests under extreme weather conditions is greatest when trees are about 15 years old. This has implications for debates about how timber harvesting influences the risk of fire. … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Communication, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Joint Species Distribution Models

Update: The paper is now available (free) from Methods in Ecology and Evolution. Update 2: In the tutorial on how to use this method, we refer to the file “fit.JSDM.r”. This is the R script on the journal website named, … Continue reading

Posted in CEED, Ecological models, New research, Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments

Writing concisely about indices of extinction risk

Edit: An updated version of the paper mentioned in this post is available at bioRxiv: http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/000760 (and now it is published: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12308) A post on the joys of editing science. For three years I have worked on a paper in … Continue reading

Posted in Communication, Ecological indices, New research | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

The Election in Indi: #indivotes

This post on the election outcome in Indi is a little beyond my usual area of expertise, but it is a nice example of simple modelling. I’m going to tackle the question of whether Sophie Mirabella or Cathy McGowan will … Continue reading

Posted in Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments