Tag Archives: Australian Federal Election

How I’ll watch the 2022 Australian Federal election

With a few days to go until ballots begin to be counted in the 2022 Australian federal election, I thought I’d give an overview of some of the things I’ll be tracking on Saturday once counting starts. In addition to … Continue reading

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The Election in Indi: #indivotes

This post on the election outcome in Indi is a little beyond my usual area of expertise, but it is a nice example of simple modelling. I’m going to tackle the question of whether Sophie Mirabella or Cathy McGowan will … Continue reading

Posted in Probability and Bayesian analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments